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The Shocking Origins of Political Transitions: Evidence from Earthquakes

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M.H. Rahman, N. Anbarci, P. Bhattacharya and M. Ulubasoglu, Southern Economic Journal, forthcoming Do earthquakes trigger political transitions? Using a rich panel dataset of 160 countries observed over 1950 to 2007, we find that earthquake shocks, measured in terms of the effect of ground-motion amplitude on death toll, have two contradicting effects on political change. On the one hand, earthquakes …